Poker Strategy Info And Source:
Statistician and FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver joins Doug Polk to talk about poker, politics, COVID, Twitter beefs and more.
This and all other episodes of the Doug Polk Podcast are also available on Spotify, Apple, Google or wherever you get your podcasts. Check https://upswingpoker.com/podcast/ for direct links.
0:00 Intro
0:52 Nate joins
2:55 Political betting, FiveThirtyEight vs sports betting markets
11:00 2020 Primaries, Superdelegates
16:29 Polarization of the US population
22:30 WSOP Covid restrictions
34:28 Nonsensical Covid policies
41:42 Nate’s upcoming book on gambling/risk
46:22 Nate’s poker background, talking all things poker
1:25:38 The Nassim Taleb beef
1:29:35 Why is Nate trending on Twitter today?, Covid talk
1:48:48 Stimulus checks, GOP’s future
1:59:32 2024 Election predictions?
2:07:13 Parting words, Nate’s WSOP schedule
Source: YouTube
If Nate weren't smart and close enough to right about a lot of stuff, this would be impossible to suffer through. His speaking has, like two leaks, right? Like really major leaks, right?
Even Brian Laundrie is Shakespeare, Seinfeld, Ken Burns, and Bob Costas all rolled into one by comparison, in the Moab police body cam video.
Whether to chop those two words out, vs replace them with a pause of equal length, or develop a sense of delivery timing, almost doesn't matter. Just not mindlessly inserting like/right all over the place, will make Nate a much better speaker. The amount of EV he's missing by having his election analysis quoted by TV personalities rather than them bringing him on as an on-air contributor, must be huge. Plug the leak, Nate, even if it won't be as easy as it sounds.
I think the argument of "helthprofessionals get the vaccine." Is somewhat flawed as they are under a lot of pressure to do so. Also there is a lot of pressure not to he critical of it. I talk to many and there are split opinions there too but people don't want to rock the boat or risk loosingcthere job by not getting itm
Get ready to learn my name and game at the WSOP next week.
Nate silver says " right" 317 times and" um", 224 times. He cant stop saying "right"..lol.. he sounds like an 8th grader
This is your most thoughtful guest ever. Great interview.
Poker + Bourgeois liberalism = barf
Wow totalitarian democrat operatives on the show great.
Dude is a paid propagandist
Boy the live chat replay really makes me want to end it all
I liked the clarity of how they described the risk balance principle. If the base risk is 10% as much as before, it doesn't make sense to apply the same costly countermeasures.
The "debate team" stuff made so much sense when Nate brought it up.
I knew about him as a poker player, but never really hard him speak. Throughout the pod, I found him very articulate and easy to listen too, so him having training for those things could have a played a part in it.
Great guest