Learn Poker Video Source & Info:
In this video, I’m going to teach you how to manage a difficult decision in poker. This video is perfect for anyone who wants to improve their game and learn how to make better decisions under pressure.
Whether you’re a beginning player or a seasoned pro, this video is a must-watch! I’ll teach you how to make sound decisions under pressure and how to win more consistently in tough situations. So don’t miss out – watch it now!
0:00 — Intro
0:55 — Preflop
1:48 — Flop
5:25 — Turn
7:03 — River
13:44 — Hero decision
13:48 — Reveal
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Source: YouTube
That 900 3 bet screamed a set. I would have check call or check fold at the end if he jammed. Tough spot.
Having just gone thru the Betting Volume content on the CLP website, I'm wondering if hero should be bet-folding for value on the river since the villain has the nut advantage? (Hero doesn't have AA as played pre-flop … and villain might call that river bet with AK or AQ.)
It just doesn't seem like villain can make a large enough raise on river to bluff … especially knowing Hero could have turned either a flush or a straight on the turn (or even a straight flush on turn.)
Why is bluff jamming bad here?
I legitimately can't find a single bluff for villain here. You have the Ace of Spades. MAYBE, maybe, they do this with AK with the K of spades. Betting into this river is absolute suicide and calling the raise is even worse. I just can't imagine villain bluff raising river after you called his 3 bet on the flop, the flush came in, the straight came in, and the board paired.
A tight, thinking player is never 3-betting this flop with worse than a set given that hero has the A of spades.
Also, fold pre.
I'm not saying I never get into tough-decision situations. But 100%, I don't ever get into this one. Easy fold preflop, end of story. Calling with A9o OOP against a non-wild, skilled UTG raiser on my immediate left, just isn't my thing, not even close. Anything bad that happens to people who do call it while 600BB/200STR deep, deserve it.
If in some similar situation, say with ATs (of wrong suit obviously, or back door draw) on AT8 flop where villain has TT, I face something similar, BUT WAY LESS OFTEN. We all get coolered. Don't get coolered holding garbage preflop hands you should have folded, and the amount you lose on coolers will drop way down.
That doesn't mean I'm unbalanced and always have the nuts like a nit. I'd just rather balance my ranges with unexpected hands that are easier to play. I'd call with 64s or even 63s way before I'd call with A9o in that spot. The flop call of the 3 bet was also suspect. I'd fold or shove. When the spade comes on the turn, I'd shove. When the 7 pairs on the river, I'd beat myself up for not folding or shoving sooner. The problem is not figuring out what to do in that spot on the river. The problem is allowing it to happen. Call preflop, really? Raise call flop with 4 outs if you're behind, really? Give free river card on scare turn card, really? Those were the mistakes, not bet calling the river on the second scare card.
By the river, hero is forced to decide whether he has pot odds (created by throwing his own money away on previous streets, that villain's shove takes all the equity from) to call and likely throw good money after bad.
I think you're calling a raise anyways, so my thought process was to jam the river ahead of time. My thought process is that the flop action is so weird that you could reverse represent AA.
On a river jam what do u beat?
Man a lot of you guys disregard straight forward logic for these ridiculous analysis about WHAT potentially the Villian can have.
Why cant all of you use common sense? The 3bet on the flop is indicative of AA, 99, 77, A9, A7, and VERY THINLY, 97. why cant you respect the 3 bet, or AT LEAST THE BET then JAM river and fold? Only an absolute moron thinks that Villain is doing this with AK/AQ. Villian is hoping YOU HAVE this hand when 3 betting flop. You check the turn which Villian doesn't like either. clearly he wasn't 3 betting a NON NUT FLUSH draw. In the end, it didn't matter since villian filled up.
You guys are overthinking urselves into losing money. Theres a time and place for solvers, and theres a time and place for common sense.
I've stopped at 3.20. This is another case of a trivial fold – on the flop. It follows my very specific rule that has never been wrong so far – will be interesting if this is the first time.
Anyway, as per my rule, when you check raise huge, and villain reraises you exactly 3x… he has the effective nuts, and I'm talking about the most unlikely – either AA or 99.
Hopefully there's a reveal. I'll be super shocked if villain only has Ax or just naked spades.
The only draw he MIGHT do this with is Ts8s willing to call your reshove but AA or 99 is 98% of his range imo…