Are You Calculating Poker Equity WRONG?

Learn Texas Holdem Video Source & Info:

0:00 Equity Question
0:57 The 4-2 Rule
3:53 Should I Just Fold?
6:25 Work On Your Math Skills With My Workbook

Joe asks:
Let’s say I am holding QJo in position heads up in a 3-bet pot and the flop comes 2h 5c 9s. Opponent bets 1/2 pot, giving me 3:1 odds. With 2 overcards, I have 24% equity to make top pair by the river. Here’s where I’m confused: He’s offering me the 3:1 odds to see the turn, but my equity is only close if I consider both the turn and the river. So if my odds of hitting on the turn are roughly 12%, do I have to fold to the bet on the flop?

I go over a common misconception between pot odds and equity when you don’t account for your opponents possible range and whether we should continue even if our odds don’t justify it.

#potodds and #equity

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Are You Calculating Poker Equity WRONG?

10 thoughts on “Are You Calculating Poker Equity WRONG?

  1. I like to think it's Tony G on the other end, who qualified holding A2. There's a brick on the turn and on the river it's an "Ace from space"

  2. James, should we also consider the equity of turning a Tx that would make us open ended? How would that work?

  3. am i a nit because depending on player type im folding QJ preflop here. unless they are 3 betting from blinds a ton. almost certainly folding c-bet here.

  4. When multiplying by 4 on the flop do we not consider K 10 as outs that can improve our hand to a flush?

  5. Thank you for this explanation. I was definitely using the 4/2 rule to calculate what I thought was my equity instead of my odds of improving.

  6. wait you said x2 if wanna see 1card, x4 for 2 cards while google says x4 if wanna see flop or river x2 if wanna see the river after the turn, imabit confused

  7. it's really great you're asking these questions and being open minded and I'm gonna keep talking and saying that as if I'm going to answer the question until the video ends without me actually saying anything else.

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