Good craps strategy? The 1 hit wonder

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A very interesting, very conservative craps strategy.

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Good craps strategy? The 1 hit wonder

2 thoughts on “Good craps strategy? The 1 hit wonder

  1. On the 4th roll of the dice there is a 54% chance you will not roll an 8 and a 52% chance you will roll a 7 so why not bet with the house?
    Bet the pass and don't pass line on the come out and then the house has no advantage and you can lay odds on each number rolled before a 7 or the point comes out. For example, shooter comes out with a 5, you lose your pass bet but your don't pass bet wins. Now the shooter either has to make the point [5] or roll a 7 to end the roll. The odds of rolling a 5 on the second roll is 11% and rolling a 7 is 16% which means the shooter will probably not roll either thus giving you another chance to lay odd on. On the third roll the chances of rolling a 5 are 30% whereas the chances of rolling a 7 is 43%. So it is possible another number will be rolled so you can lay odds. On the 4th roll the chances of rolling a 7 is 52%. It is just math.

    Here is the math (5/6)4 = 625/1296 = 48% chance that you will not get a 7 on 4 rolls and a 52% chance you will.

    Explanation: When rolling 2 dice there are 36 possible outcomes. Only 6 will result in a 7 being thrown, so you will not roll a 7 5/6 (83.3% ) of the time.

    So 4 rolls of the dice are as follows: 5/6 X 5/6 X 5/6 X 5/6 = 625/1296 = .48 (48% chance you will not get a 7 on four rolls of the dice) and a 52% chance you will.

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